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Tim Pool posted a claim on X in July that’s been spreading like wildfire across social media, and it’s absolutely wild.
He said rap music is dead because USAID collapsed, and now nobody’s listening to Hip-Hop anymore.
The post got 1.6 million views and 58,000 likes, which means a lot of people are taking this seriously, but here’s the thing: there’s zero evidence this is actually true.
Conservative commentators have been pushing this narrative hard since according to NewsGuard the Trump administration shut down USAID in February 2025.
They’re claiming the government agency was secretly funding rap music to “dumb down” America, and when it got defunded, the genre just disappeared from the charts.
Joe Rogan even brought it up on his podcast in July, asking his 21 million YouTube subscribers whether USAID was actively promoting rap.
The episode got 1.7 million views, so this conspiracy theory is getting serious mainstream attention.
The actual facts tell a completely different story. Billboard reported in October 2025 that for the first time since 1990, there were no rap songs in the top 40, which is real.
But here’s what matters: Hip-Hop’s market share has been declining since 2020, when it peaked at 30 percent. By 2023, it dropped to 25 percent, and by October 2025, it was down to 24 percent.
That decline started years before USAID got shut down, so the timeline doesn’t even match up with what these commentators are claiming.
Former USAID administrator Samantha Power told NewsGuard the whole thing is ridiculous.
“USAID did not program in the United States,” she said. “It was an overseas development agency, active in 100 countries, and mandated by Congress to program outside the United States.”
NewsGuard searched through over 230,000 USAID documents and found absolutely nothing about programs designed to boost rap music in America.
The agency did fund some rap-related projects overseas, like a HIV prevention campaign in Tanzania that used a rap contest, but that’s completely different from secretly funding the entire genre domestically.
Hip-Hop’s chart presence has been shifting for years due to streaming changes, market saturation, and how Billboard counts songs now.
Samantha Power also noted that NewsGuard has debunked 34 different USAID conspiracy theories since the agency was dismantled, including claims it funded celebrity visits to Ukraine and that Jeffrey Epstein received payments from the organization.
According to Billboard, the new charting rules that went into effect actually contributed to rap’s absence from the top 40 by removing songs from the chart faster than before.
